Growth in Tanzania's mobile market has rebounded impressively in 2014 following a contraction in 2013, prompted by the discounting inactive SIMs and slow expansion of networks to rural areas. We believe renewed growth has been triggered by increased investment in network expansion, as demonstrated by Zantel's launch of 3G services on mainland Tanzania and the deployment of the government's Universal Access Fund, as well as intensifying price competition between the country's six mobile operators. We expect positive growth to continue throughout our forecast period to 2018, as Viettel's planned entry into the market in 2015 will ensure expansion to underserved areas as it seeks to build up a subscriber base.
Key Data
* The mobile sector grew 2.6% in Q214, compared to growth of 2.0% in the previous quarter and a 3.2% contraction in Q213.
* In Q314 market level mobile ARPU continued to recover from a sharp drop in Q113 in local currency terms, but at TZS5,273 it still lags behind Q313 levels.
* MFS users have continued to rise, and Vodacom reported that active M-PESA users accounted for more than 54% of its total subscriber base.
* The fixed-line market recorded significant net losses in Q214, which was the sixth consecutive quarter of contraction.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/912424_tanzania_telecommunications_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101
Risk/Reward Rating
Tanzania ranked 19 th with a score of 39.4 on the BMI telecoms Risk/Reward Index (RRI) for Sub-Saharan Africa in Q115. Both its score and its rank remained unchanged during this quarter's update. Tanzania's score is boosted by its comparatively high Industry Risks score, indicating the government's fairly small interest in the telecoms market and a proactive regulatory environment. However, this could be negatively affected if the government succeeds in reclaiming full ownership of incumbent telecoms operator Tanzania Telecommunications Company Limited (TTCL). Tanzania's weakest score is in the industry rewards category, reflecting a sharp slowdown in mobile...
The Tanzania Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Tanzania's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's Tanzania Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Tanzania.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Tanzania to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Tanzanian telecoms market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in Tanzania's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Tanzania.
* Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
* Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
* Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
* Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
Market Data Analysis
Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:
* Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
* Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
* Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
* Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).
Regulatory Environment
Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.
Company Profiles
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